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Crude Oil Rises After Report of Unexpected U.S. Inventory Drop
By: Administrative Account | Source: Bloomberg
October 31, 2007 10:19AM EST



By Mark Shenk

Oct. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose more than $3 a barrel after an Energy Department report showed that U.S. inventories unexpectedly declined.

Stockpiles fell 3.89 million barrels to 312.7 million barrels last week, the report showed. A 400,000 barrel gain was expected, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Prices may increase further because the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a quarter-point interest rate reduction to bolster economic growth.

Crude oil for December delivery rose $2.88, or 3.2 percent, to $93.26 a barrel at 10:43 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange after touching $93.67. Futures climbed to $93.80 on Oct. 29, the highest since trading began in 1983. Oil is up 58 percent from a year ago.

Brent crude oil for December settlement rose $2.46, or 2.8 percent, to $89.90 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Brent reached $90.49 a barrel on Oct. 29, the highest since trading began in 1988.

The Energy Department released its weekly report on petroleum stockpiles at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.

``When the dollar is weak, a lot of overseas investors seek a safe haven in commodities, such as gold and oil,'' said James Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch & Associates in Galena, Illinois. ``Falling interest rates also have bullish implications for demand because it may boost economic growth. A weak dollar also cushions European consumers somewhat against higher prices.''

Earlier Rate Cut

Crude-oil surged and the dollar plunged after the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point on Sept. 18, more than economists had predicted. The U.S. central bank is scheduled to announce the rate decision at about 2:15 p.m. in Washington.

Fed policy makers, concluding a two-day meeting, are expected to lower their target for the federal funds rate to 4.5 percent from 4.75 percent, according to the median forecast of 108 economists. Interest-rate futures show traders assign 90 percent odds of a quarter-point cut, down from 94 percent yesterday, and 10 percent odds of no rate change, up from 6 percent yesterday.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed last month to raise output by 500,000 barrels a day starting Nov. 1 to help ease prices that threaten economic growth. The move failed and prices have jumped 17 percent since the Sept. 11 announcement of the increase.

``Global demand for oil largely exceeds the production of non-OPEC countries and the difference is not matched by OPEC, so there is tension on the market,'' said Harry Tchilinguirian, an analyst at BNP Paribas in London. ``Oil-consuming countries will certainly be putting pressure on OPEC to increase output, but in the short term we don't anticipate a production increase above 500,000 barrels a day.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Mark Shenk in New York at mshenk1@bloomberg.net .

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